ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
19.01.2026 20:00
Amex Stadium
Referee: P. Tierney
Brighton
Match Timeline
Bournemouth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
29'
Amine Adli
Bournemouth
⚽
32'
M. Tavernier
Bournemouth
🟨
58'
Danny Welbeck
Brighton
🟨
60'
Marcos Senesi
Bournemouth
🔄
66'
J. Hinshelwood ↔ C. Baleba
Brighton
🔄
66'
D. Gomez ↔ G. Rutter
Brighton
🔄
66'
B. Gruda ↔ Y. Minteh
Brighton
🔄
71'
M. Tavernier ↔ A. Smith
Bournemouth
🔄
72'
E. J. Kroupi ↔ R. Christie
Bournemouth
🟨
77'
Jan Paul van Hecke
Brighton
🔄
77'
D. Welbeck ↔ C. Kostoulas
Brighton
🔄
79'
A. Adli ↔ B. Diakite
Bournemouth
🟨
83'
Adam Smith
Bournemouth
🟨
85'
Đorđe Petrović
Bournemouth
🔄
89'
F. Kadioglu ↔ O. Boscagli
Brighton
🔄
90+9'
A. Jimenez ↔ V. Milosavljevic
Bournemouth
⚽
90'
C. Kostoulas · Assist: J. P. van Hecke
Brighton

Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bournemouth Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.66
Bournemouth1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton Brighton
WWDLW
33 GF / 29 GA
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WLDWL
36 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
15
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
15
4.41
Shots on Goal
5.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brighton Brighton 22 matches
Bournemouth Bournemouth 22 matches
Brighton Statistic Bournemouth
8 Wins 6
8 Draws 9
6 Losses 7
33 Goals For 36
29 Goals Against 42
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
15 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 14
5 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
4.41 Shots On Goal 5.32
13.18 Total Shots 14.14
4.5 Corners 5.64
51.4% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 7 times, Bournemouth won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Brighton's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Brighton wins 7, draws 2, Bournemouth wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship