Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bournemouth
35 matches
Crystal Palace
49 matches
| Bournemouth | Statistic | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 19 |
| 17 | Draws | 14 |
| 7 | Losses | 16 |
| 54 | Goals For | 61 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.97 | Shots On Goal | 4.24 |
| 14.09 | Total Shots | 13.1 |
| 5.66 | Corners | 4.53 |
| 50.1% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bournemouth expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Crystal Palace in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crystal Palace having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Crystal Palace. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Bournemouth sit 7 with 49 points after 34 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 16 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 52:52 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Semenyo (15 goals), Eli Junior Kroupi (11 goals), Evanilson (6 goals), with creative support from M. Senesi (5 assists), A. Semenyo (4 assists), M. Tavernier (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Crystal Palace are currently 13 in the standings with 43 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 36:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jean-Philippe Mateta (10 goals), I. Sarr (7 goals), Daniel Muñoz (4 goals), with creative support from Adam Wharton (5 assists), Jefferson Lerma (3 assists), Daniel Muñoz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 4 times, Crystal Palace won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from Bournemouth's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bournemouth
Home
|
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
Away
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|