ITALY › SERIE A
18.01.2026 14:00
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Referee: D. Doveri
Bologna
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
18'
Cher Ndour
Fiorentina
⚽
19'
R. Mandragora · Assist: A. Gudmundsson
Fiorentina
🟨
38'
Emil Holm
Bologna
VAR
45+3'
Roberto Piccoli
Fiorentina
⚽
45'
R. Piccoli
Fiorentina
🔄
46'
R. Freuler ↔ N. Moro
Bologna
🔄
46'
R. Orsolini ↔ J. Rowe
Bologna
🔄
46'
E. Holm ↔ N. Zortea
Bologna
🔄
46'
J. Odgaard ↔ G. Fabbian
Bologna
🔄
72'
T. Pobega ↔ L. Ferguson
Bologna
🔄
72'
R. Mandragora ↔ M. Brescianini
Fiorentina
🔄
72'
C. Ndour ↔ S. Sohm
Fiorentina
🔄
72'
A. Gudmundsson ↔ M. Solomon
Fiorentina
🟨
77'
Juan Miranda
Bologna
🔄
80'
F. Parisi ↔ N. Fortini
Fiorentina
⚽
88'
G. Fabbian · Assist: J. Rowe
Bologna
🟨
90'
Lewis Ferguson
Bologna
🔄
90+4'
N. Fagioli ↔ L. Ranieri
Fiorentina

Bologna vs Fiorentina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bologna Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fiorentina Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bologna1.39
Fiorentina1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bologna Bologna
WWDLW
41 GF / 31 GA
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WLDWL
35 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
16
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
16
4.62
Shots on Goal
3.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bologna Bologna 29 matches
Fiorentina Fiorentina 28 matches
Bologna Statistic Fiorentina
12 Wins 7
9 Draws 8
8 Losses 13
41 Goals For 35
31 Goals Against 38
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
16 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 8
4.62 Shots On Goal 3.96
13.83 Total Shots 13.89
5.38 Corners 4.89
54.8% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bologna won 4 times, Fiorentina won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from Bologna's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bologna 4-2-3-1 / Fiorentina 4-3-3
H2H summary: Bologna wins 4, draws 5, Fiorentina wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B