Avellino vs Modena Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Avellino
Modena
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Avellino
38 matches
Modena
38 matches
| Avellino | Statistic | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 15 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 13 |
| 42 | Goals For | 49 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.24 | Shots On Goal | 4.76 |
| 9.47 | Total Shots | 15.37 |
| 4.11 | Corners | 5.47 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 50.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Modena's more proactive style and Avellino's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avellino expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Modena in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Modena having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Modena. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 37 matches, Avellino have collected 46 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 42:55 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tommaso Biasci (12 goals), Lorenco Šimić (4 goals), M. Palumbo (4 goals), with creative support from D. Sounas (5 assists), Tommaso Biasci (3 assists), M. Palumbo (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Modena have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 55 points from 37 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 49:35 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Gliozzi (11 goals), D. Tonoli (5 goals), Francesco Zampano (4 goals), with creative support from S. Santoro (4 assists), L. Magnino (4 assists), M. De Luca (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Avellino won 1 times, Modena won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Avellino's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Modena
Away
|
38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Avellino
Home
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|