FRANCE LIGUE 1
03.05.2026 15:15
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Referee: E. Wattellier
Auxerre
Match Timeline
Angers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
S. Mara
Auxerre
🟨
45+2'
Amine Sbai
Angers
🟨
45+1'
Amine Sbai
Angers
🟥
45+2'
Amine Sbai
Angers
🟨
49'
Bryan Okoh
Auxerre
VAR
49'
Branco Van den Boomen
Angers
🟨
53'
Pierrick Capelle
Angers
61'
S. Mara · Assist: L. Sinayoko
Auxerre
🔄
62'
P. Peter ↔ G. Koyalipou
Angers
🔄
62'
P. Capelle ↔ L. Mouton
Angers
67'
L. Sinayoko · Assist: S. Mara
Auxerre
🟨
68'
Lassine Sinayoko
Auxerre
🔄
71'
M. Louer ↔ L. Machine
Angers
VAR
75'
Jordan Lefort
Angers
77'
G. Koyalipou
Angers
🔄
78'
G. Mensah ↔ C. Akpa
Auxerre
🔄
79'
N. Ahamada ↔ J. Casimir
Auxerre
🔄
79'
S. Mara ↔ L. Coulibaly
Auxerre
🔄
86'
B. van den Boomen ↔ F. Hanin
Angers
🔄
86'
L. Raolisoa ↔ C. Arcus
Angers
🔄
87'
K. Danois ↔ A. Diousse
Auxerre
🟨
90+6'
Carlens Arcus
Angers
🔄
90+5'
D. Namaso ↔ M. Cissokho
Auxerre

Auxerre vs Angers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auxerre Win 57.5%
Draw 8.6%
Angers Win 33.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auxerre1.06
Angers1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auxerre Auxerre
WWDLW
28 GF / 44 GA
Angers Angers
WLDWL
27 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
13
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
9
3.34
Shots on Goal
3.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auxerre Auxerre 32 matches
Angers Angers 33 matches
Auxerre Statistic Angers
5 Wins 9
10 Draws 9
17 Losses 15
28 Goals For 27
44 Goals Against 44
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
13 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 11
16 Failed To Score 13
3.34 Shots On Goal 3.24
10.69 Total Shots 9.3
4.78 Corners 3.82
43.7% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Angers. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Auxerre expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Angers in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Angers having the stronger overall control. Angers arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Auxerre Analysis

Auxerre sit 16 with 25 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 27:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Sinayoko (8 goals), Bryan Okoh (3 goals), D. Namaso (3 goals), with creative support from L. Sinayoko (3 assists), D. Namaso (3 assists), Sinaly Diomandé (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Angers Analysis

With 34 points from 31 games and a place of 13, Angers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 26:43, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Lepaul (18 goals), P. Peter (5 goals), Sidiki Cherif (4 goals), with creative support from E. Lepaul (4 assists), L. Raolisoa (4 assists), Carlens Arcus (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Auxerre won 3 times, Angers won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Auxerre's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Auxerre 4-2-3-1 / Angers 5-3-2
Missing players: Auxerre 5, Angers 3
H2H summary: Auxerre wins 3, draws 6, Angers wins 6

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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