ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
04.03.2026 19:30
Villa Park
Referee: J. Gillett
Aston Villa
Match Timeline
Chelsea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
Douglas Luiz · Assist: L. Bailey
Aston Villa
🟨
32'
Matty Cash
Aston Villa
⚽
35'
Joao Pedro · Assist: M. Gusto
Chelsea
VAR
42'
Ollie Watkins
Aston Villa
⚽
45'
Joao Pedro · Assist: E. Fernandez
Chelsea
🔄
46'
M. Cash ↔ L. Bogarde
Aston Villa
🟨
54'
João Pedro
Chelsea
⚽
55'
C. Palmer · Assist: Joao Pedro
Chelsea
🟨
58'
Morgan Rogers
Aston Villa
🟨
58'
Enzo Fernández
Chelsea
🔄
63'
Douglas Luiz ↔ R. Barkley
Aston Villa
🔄
63'
L. Bailey ↔ Alysson
Aston Villa
🔄
63'
E. Buendia ↔ J. Sancho
Aston Villa
⚽
64'
Joao Pedro · Assist: A. Garnacho
Chelsea
🟨
68'
Ollie Watkins
Aston Villa
🔄
72'
O. Watkins ↔ T. Abraham
Aston Villa
🔄
75'
M. Gusto ↔ R. Lavia
Chelsea
🔄
79'
W. Fofana ↔ T. Adarabioyo
Chelsea
🔄
79'
E. Fernandez ↔ M. Cucurella
Chelsea
🔄
85'
C. Palmer ↔ Andrey Santos
Chelsea
🔄
85'
Joao Pedro ↔ L. Delap
Chelsea

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Chelsea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.33
Chelsea1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WWDLW
55 GF / 40 GA
Chelsea Chelsea
WLDWL
75 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.97
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
20
BTTS Yes
25
19
Over 2.5
26
4.71
Shots on Goal
5.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aston Villa Aston Villa 38 matches
Chelsea Chelsea 38 matches
Aston Villa Statistic Chelsea
23 Wins 19
6 Draws 10
9 Losses 9
55 Goals For 75
40 Goals Against 44
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.97
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
20 BTTS Yes 25
27 Over 1.5 33
19 Over 2.5 26
8 Over 3.5 16
12 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 2
4.71 Shots On Goal 5.18
12.71 Total Shots 14
5.39 Corners 5.97
54.6% Ball Possession 59.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 6 times, Chelsea won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:23 from Aston Villa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Chelsea 4-3-3
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 6, draws 3, Chelsea wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship