ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
02.05.2026 16:30
Emirates Stadium
Referee: J. Gillett
Arsenal
Match Timeline
Fulham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
V. Gyokeres · Assist: B. Saka
Arsenal
🟨
23'
Saša Lukić
Fulham
VAR
30'
Riccardo Calafiori
Arsenal
40'
B. Saka · Assist: V. Gyokeres
Arsenal
45'
V. Gyokeres · Assist: L. Trossard
Arsenal
🔄
46'
B. Saka ↔ N. Madueke
Arsenal
🔄
64'
V. Gyökeres ↔ Gabriel Jesus
Arsenal
🔄
64'
D. Rice ↔ M. Zubimendi
Arsenal
🔄
64'
H. Reed ↔ T. Cairney
Fulham
🔄
64'
H. Wilson ↔ O. Bobb
Fulham
🔄
64'
S. Chukwueze ↔ J. King
Fulham
🔄
73'
R. Jimenez ↔ Rodrigo Muniz
Fulham
🔄
78'
E. Eze ↔ M. Dowman
Arsenal
🔄
78'
E. Smith Rowe ↔ J. Kusi Asare
Fulham
🔄
83'
B. White ↔ C. Mosquera
Arsenal

Arsenal vs Fulham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
55.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Win 59.8%
Draw 12.2%
Fulham Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal1.74
Fulham1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Arsenal
WWDLW
103 GF / 36 GA
Fulham Fulham
WLDWL
49 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
2.02
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
25
BTTS Yes
21
28
Over 2.5
20
5.33
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Arsenal 51 matches
Fulham Fulham 37 matches
Arsenal Statistic Fulham
35 Wins 16
10 Draws 6
6 Losses 15
103 Goals For 49
36 Goals Against 49
2.02 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
25 BTTS Yes 21
40 Over 1.5 26
28 Over 2.5 20
15 Over 3.5 10
25 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 10
5.33 Shots On Goal 4.03
14.88 Total Shots 13.11
5.94 Corners 5.11
55.9% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Arsenal's more proactive style and Fulham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Arsenal arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 73 points compared to Fulham in 10 on 48, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fulham. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arsenal expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Fulham in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fulham having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Arsenal Analysis

Arsenal come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 73 points after 34 matches. With 22 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 64:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by V. Gyokeres (12 goals), E. Eze (7 goals), B. Saka (6 goals), with creative support from L. Trossard (5 assists), D. Rice (5 assists), Jurriën Timber (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 13 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Fulham Analysis

So far, Fulham have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 48 points from 34 matches. The record of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 44:46 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Wilson (10 goals), R. Jimenez (9 goals), A. Iwobi (4 goals), with creative support from H. Wilson (6 assists), S. Chukwueze (4 assists), R. Jimenez (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal won 11 times, Fulham won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:11 from Arsenal's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Arsenal 4-3-3 / Fulham 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Arsenal 4, Fulham 4
H2H summary: Arsenal wins 11, draws 3, Fulham wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship