ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
01.03.2026 16:30
Emirates Stadium
Referee: D. England
Arsenal
Match Timeline
Chelsea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
21'
W. Saliba · Assist: Gabriel
Arsenal
⚽
45'
P. Hincapie · Assist: R. James
Chelsea
🔄
56'
L. Trossard ↔ G. Martinelli
Arsenal
🟨
59'
Cole Palmer
Chelsea
🟨
65'
Jorrel Hato
Chelsea
⚽
66'
J. Timber · Assist: D. Rice
Arsenal
🟨
67'
Pedro Neto
Chelsea
🟨
70'
Pedro Neto
Chelsea
🟥
70'
Pedro Neto
Chelsea
🟨
75'
Gabriel Magalhães
Arsenal
🔄
75'
J. Hato ↔ M. Gusto
Chelsea
🔄
75'
Andrey Santos ↔ R. Lavia
Chelsea
🔄
76'
V. Gyökeres ↔ K. Havertz
Arsenal
🔄
76'
D. Rice ↔ C. Norgaard
Arsenal
🟨
79'
Enzo Fernández
Chelsea
🔄
86'
C. Palmer ↔ A. Garnacho
Chelsea
🔄
86'
E. Fernandez ↔ L. Delap
Chelsea
🔄
90'
M. Sarr ↔ T. Adarabioyo
Chelsea

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Win 0%
Draw 0%
Chelsea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal1.83
Chelsea1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Arsenal
WWDLW
87 GF / 26 GA
Chelsea Chelsea
WLDWL
74 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
2
0.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
18
BTTS Yes
24
23
Over 2.5
25
5.58
Shots on Goal
5.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Arsenal 38 matches
Chelsea Chelsea 37 matches
Arsenal Statistic Chelsea
28 Wins 19
7 Draws 10
3 Losses 8
87 Goals For 74
26 Goals Against 42
2.29 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
18 BTTS Yes 24
31 Over 1.5 32
23 Over 2.5 25
15 Over 3.5 16
19 Clean Sheets 13
3 Failed To Score 2
5.58 Shots On Goal 5.24
15.18 Total Shots 14.14
5.84 Corners 5.86
57.5% Ball Possession 59.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal won 10 times, Chelsea won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:14 from Arsenal's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Arsenal 4-2-3-1 / Chelsea 4-3-3
H2H summary: Arsenal wins 10, draws 3, Chelsea wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship