03.05.2026 14:00
Bosuilstadion
Referee: J. Vergoote
Antwerp
Match Timeline
Standard Liege
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
33'
Y. Tsunashima
Standard Liege
38'
T. Nkada · Assist: R. Said
Standard Liege
42'
D. Bates · Assist: C. Nielsen
Standard Liege
🔄
46'
Y. Hamdaoui ↔ F. Adekami
Antwerp
48'
R. Said · Assist: A. Abid
Standard Liege
🔄
55'
M. Fossey ↔ J. Homawoo
Standard Liege
🟨
59'
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Antwerp
62'
R. Said
Standard Liege
🔄
63'
T. Nkada ↔ D. Eckert Ayensa
Standard Liege
🔄
63'
A. Abid ↔ T. Mohr
Standard Liege
🔄
66'
E. Tuypens ↔ K. Kouyate
Antwerp
🔄
66'
Y. Tsunashima ↔ R. Van Helden
Antwerp
🔄
66'
G. Kerk ↔ M. Al Sahafi
Antwerp
🟨
72'
Boubakar Kouyaté
Antwerp
🔄
82'
C. Nielsen ↔ N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
Standard Liege
🔄
82'
R. Said ↔ B. Nguene
Standard Liege
🔄
85'
D. Praet ↔ M. Benitez
Antwerp
🟨
90'
Boubakar Kouyaté
Antwerp
🟥
90'
Boubakar Kouyaté
Antwerp

Antwerp vs Standard Liege Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Antwerp Win 37.1%
Draw 6.3%
Standard Liege Win 56.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Antwerp1.18
Standard Liege1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Antwerp Antwerp
WWDLW
41 GF / 39 GA
Standard Liege Standard Liege
WLDWL
35 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
17
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
15
4.23
Shots on Goal
3.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Antwerp Antwerp 35 matches
Standard Liege Standard Liege 35 matches
Antwerp Statistic Standard Liege
12 Wins 13
8 Draws 8
15 Losses 14
41 Goals For 35
39 Goals Against 42
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
17 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 12
4.23 Shots On Goal 3.2
11.74 Total Shots 9.63
4.43 Corners 4.11
48.8% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Antwerp's more proactive style and Standard Liege's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Standard Liege. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Antwerp expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Standard Liege in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Standard Liege having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Antwerp Analysis

Antwerp come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 27 points after 35 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses, with a 41:39 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Vincent Janssen (10 goals), Christopher Scott (6 goals), A. Valencia (4 goals), with creative support from Vincent Janssen (7 assists), Gyrano Kerk (4 assists), D. Foulon (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Standard Liege Analysis

Placed 4 with 27 points from 35 outings, Standard Liege continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, while the 35:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Eckert Ayensa (5 goals), R. Said (5 goals), C. Nielsen (4 goals), with creative support from A. Abid (4 assists), R. Said (3 assists), T. Henry (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 9 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Antwerp won 7 times, Standard Liege won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:19 from Antwerp's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Antwerp 3-4-1-2 / Standard Liege 3-4-3
H2H summary: Antwerp wins 7, draws 4, Standard Liege wins 4

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7 30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round