14.12.2025 17:30
UD Almeria Stadium
Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
Almeria
Match Timeline
Burgos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Miguel Atienza
Burgos
🟨
33'
Mateo Mejia
Burgos
🟨
33'
Florian Miguel
Burgos
🟨
38'
Thalys
Almeria
⚽
39'
I. Morante · Assist: Curro
Burgos
⚽
45'
Thalys · Assist: A. Embarba
Almeria
🔄
55'
M. Mejia ↔ F. Nino
Burgos
⚽
58'
Curro
Burgos
🔄
63'
P. Fidel Cedillo Segura ↔ A. Centelles
Almeria
🔄
64'
S. Dzodic ↔ A. Horta
Almeria
🔄
64'
A. Puigmal ↔ Leo Baptistao
Almeria
🔄
69'
D. Chirino ↔ M. Luna
Almeria
🔄
69'
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros ↔ K. Appin
Burgos
🔄
70'
I. Cordoba ↔ V. Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
78'
Thalys ↔ P. Soko
Almeria
🔄
81'
I. Morante ↔ S. del Cerro
Burgos
🔄
81'
Curro ↔ M. Exposito
Burgos
🟨
82'
Léo Baptistão
Almeria
🟨
90+8'
Álex Muñoz
Almeria

Almeria vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Almeria Win 0%
Draw 0%
Burgos Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almeria1.49
Burgos1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almeria Almeria
WWDLW
36 GF / 24 GA
Burgos Burgos
WLDWL
24 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
12
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
8
5.61
Shots on Goal
2.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almeria Almeria 19 matches
Burgos Burgos 19 matches
Almeria Statistic Burgos
10 Wins 9
5 Draws 4
4 Losses 6
36 Goals For 24
24 Goals Against 17
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
12 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 11
12 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 7
5.61 Shots On Goal 2.58
15.33 Total Shots 8.79
5.39 Corners 3.63
50.6% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Almeria won 3 times, Burgos won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Almeria's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Almeria 4-2-3-1 / Burgos 3-5-2
H2H summary: Almeria wins 3, draws 1, Burgos wins 2

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
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