GERMANY › 3. LIGA
02.05.2026 12:00
New Tivoli
Referee: E. Weisbach
Alemannia Aachen
Match Timeline
Hansa Rostock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Marco Schuster
Hansa Rostock
🟨
20'
Joel da Kiala
Alemannia Aachen
🟨
20'
Petros Bagalianis
Alemannia Aachen
⚽
45'
M. Krauss · Assist: J. Dirkner
Hansa Rostock
🟨
46'
Nico Neidhart
Hansa Rostock
🟨
55'
Jonas Dirkner
Hansa Rostock
⚽
58'
L. Gindorf
Alemannia Aachen
🔄
64'
D. Hummel ↔ E. Holten
Hansa Rostock
🔄
64'
J. Dirkner ↔ C. Kinsombi
Hansa Rostock
🔄
64'
N. Neidhart ↔ B. Dietze
Hansa Rostock
🟨
66'
Benno Dietze
Hansa Rostock
🔄
78'
V. Bergh ↔ A. Voglsammer
Hansa Rostock
🔄
83'
L. Kunze ↔ K. Fatkic
Hansa Rostock
🔄
88'
M. Schroers ↔ O. Sillah
Alemannia Aachen
🔄
88'
F. Ademi ↔ N. H. Castelle
Alemannia Aachen
🟨
90+3'
Maximilian Krauss
Hansa Rostock
🟨
90+1'
Emil Holten
Hansa Rostock

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 91.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
85.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
91.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Alemannia Aachen Win 57.8%
Draw 7.2%
Hansa Rostock Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alemannia Aachen1.61
Hansa Rostock1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen
WWDLW
66 GF / 55 GA
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock
WLDWL
64 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
25
BTTS Yes
19
26
Over 2.5
22
4.17
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 35 matches
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 35 matches
Alemannia Aachen Statistic Hansa Rostock
17 Wins 16
6 Draws 12
12 Losses 7
66 Goals For 64
55 Goals Against 42
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
25 BTTS Yes 19
31 Over 1.5 26
26 Over 2.5 22
19 Over 3.5 15
4 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 8
4.17 Shots On Goal 4.55
10.52 Total Shots 11.79
4.48 Corners 5.21
39.8% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Hansa Rostock. Alemannia Aachen come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alemannia Aachen expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Hansa Rostock in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hansa Rostock having the stronger overall control.

Alemannia Aachen Analysis

So far, Alemannia Aachen have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 57 points from 35 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 66:55 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Gindorf (22 goals), Mika Schröers (18 goals), Faton Ademi (5 goals), with creative support from L. Gindorf (10 assists), Mika Schröers (7 assists), Pierre Nadjombe (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Hansa Rostock Analysis

Placed 5 with 60 points from 35 outings, Hansa Rostock continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 16 wins, 12 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 64:42 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Emil Holten (13 goals), R. Naderi (8 goals), K. Fatkic (7 goals), with creative support from V. Bergh (5 assists), R. Naderi (4 assists), C. Harenbrock (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Alemannia Aachen won 2 times, Hansa Rostock won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Alemannia Aachen's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
Predicted formations: Alemannia Aachen 3-4-2-1 / Hansa Rostock 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Alemannia Aachen wins 2, draws 4, Hansa Rostock wins 2

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation