SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
28.04.2026 16:00
Al-Shabab Club Stadium
Referee: A. Al Rumaikhani
Al Shabab
Match Timeline
Al-Fateh
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Saeed Baattia
Al-Fateh
🟨
33'
Mohammed Al-Thani
Al Shabab
VAR
35'
Fahad Zubaidi
Al-Fateh
36'
S. Bendebka
Al-Fateh
🔄
46'
M. Al Thani ↔ F. Al Saqour
Al Shabab
🔄
59'
F. Al Zubaidi ↔ M. Al Sahihi
Al-Fateh
🔄
65'
A. Azaizeh ↔ H. Al Hammami
Al Shabab
🔄
65'
J. Brownhill ↔ U. Hernandez
Al Shabab
🟨
68'
Mohammed Al Shwirekh
Al Shabab
74'
M. Saadane
Al Shabab
🔄
90'
S. Baattia ↔ Bin Mahmoud
Al-Fateh
🔄
90+3'
S. Bendebka ↔ O. Al Othman
Al-Fateh
🔄
90'
M. Vargas ↔ A. Al Masoud
Al-Fateh
🔄
90'
M. Qasheesh ↔ Wesley Delgado
Al-Fateh

Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 33.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
33.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Al Shabab Win 59.2%
Draw 14.9%
Al-Fateh Win 25.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Shabab1.46
Al-Fateh1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Shabab Al Shabab
WWDLW
36 GF / 42 GA
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh
WLDWL
35 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
16
BTTS Yes
18
11
Over 2.5
13
4.68
Shots on Goal
4.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Shabab Al Shabab 28 matches
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 28 matches
Al Shabab Statistic Al-Fateh
7 Wins 8
10 Draws 7
11 Losses 13
36 Goals For 35
42 Goals Against 48
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
16 BTTS Yes 18
21 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 6
4.68 Shots On Goal 4.64
13.18 Total Shots 12.18
5.32 Corners 5.29
47.8% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al-Fateh. Al-Fateh arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Shabab expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al-Fateh in 3-2-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Fateh having the stronger overall control.

Al Shabab Analysis

Al Shabab are currently 12 in the standings with 31 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 36:42 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Y. Carrasco (15 goals), A. Hamdallah (5 goals), J. Brownhill (5 goals), with creative support from Y. Carrasco (5 assists), A. Hamdallah (2 assists), J. Brownhill (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Fateh Analysis

Al-Fateh sit 13 with 31 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 35:48, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Batna (8 goals), Matías Vargas (7 goals), S. Bendebka (6 goals), with creative support from M. Batna (8 assists), Wesley Delgado (3 assists), Matías Vargas (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al Shabab won 6 times, Al-Fateh won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Al Shabab's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: Al Shabab 4-2-3-1 / Al-Fateh 3-2-4-1
H2H summary: Al Shabab wins 6, draws 4, Al-Fateh wins 5

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
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