13.05.2026 17:00
Alexandria Stadium
Referee: M. Nagy
Al Ittihad
Match Timeline
El Geish
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
36'
M. Alaa
Al Ittihad
🔄
46'
K. Tarek ↔ A. Keita
El Geish
🔄
46'
F. Hatem ↔ I. Ouro-Agoro
El Geish
🟨
56'
Mostafa Ibrahim
Al Ittihad
🔄
62'
Y. Wahid ↔ A. Eid
Al Ittihad
🔄
63'
M. Emad ↔ M. Tony
Al Ittihad
🔄
67'
I. Mohareb ↔ A. Tarek
El Geish
🔄
69'
S. Isaac ↔ A. Mohamed
Al Ittihad
🟨
73'
Ahmed Tarek
El Geish
🟨
74'
Khaled Abdelfattah
Al Ittihad
🔄
77'
J. Ebuka ↔ Mabululu
Al Ittihad
🔄
78'
M. Dunga ↔ Afsha
Al Ittihad
🔄
78'
A. Tarek ↔ H. El Gabry
El Geish
🔄
79'
A. Zola ↔ M. Hany
El Geish
🟨
90'
Karim El Deeb
Al Ittihad

Al Ittihad vs El Geish Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
66.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al Ittihad Win 71.3%
Draw 0%
El Geish Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Ittihad0.87
El Geish0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
WWDLW
23 GF / 35 GA
El Geish El Geish
WLDWL
19 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
0.66
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
8
3.14
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 29 matches
El Geish El Geish 29 matches
Al Ittihad Statistic El Geish
7 Wins 8
8 Draws 10
14 Losses 11
23 Goals For 19
35 Goals Against 29
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 0.66
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 15
3.14 Shots On Goal 3
9.86 Total Shots 11.1
4.07 Corners 4.83
49.7% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward El Geish. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. El Geish carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 34 points while Al Ittihad sit 17 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Ittihad expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and El Geish in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward El Geish having the stronger overall control.

Al Ittihad Analysis

Al Ittihad sit 17 with 29 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 8:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Ebuka (5 goals), F. Farid (4 goals), Afsha (2 goals), with creative support from A. Liadi (3 assists), Afsha (2 assists), Mohamed Toni (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

El Geish Analysis

From their first 9 matches, El Geish have collected 34 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 5:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Ouro-Agoro (5 goals), Amro Tarek (3 goals), I. Mohareb (2 goals), with creative support from I. Ouro-Agoro (3 assists), I. Mohareb (1 assists), G. Al Madadha (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al Ittihad won 7 times, El Geish won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Al Ittihad's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Al Ittihad 4-2-3-1 / El Geish 4-4-2
H2H summary: Al Ittihad wins 7, draws 5, El Geish wins 3

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)