RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
03.05.2026 14:00
Samara Arena
Referee: E. Bulanov
Akron
Match Timeline
FC Krasnodar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
55'
Jhon Córdoba
FC Krasnodar
🔄
57'
A. Dzyuba ↔ S. Loncar
Akron
🟨
63'
Ifet Đakovac
Akron
🔄
65'
K. Maradishvili ↔ M. Kuzmin
Akron
🟨
69'
Giovanni González
FC Krasnodar
🔄
71'
Joao Batxi ↔ J. Boselli
FC Krasnodar
🔄
71'
N. Krivtsov ↔ M. D. Cobnan
FC Krasnodar
72'
J. Cordoba · Assist: E. Spertsyan
FC Krasnodar
🔄
78'
I. Djakovac ↔ Y. Rocha
Akron
🔄
78'
I. Nedelcearu ↔ A. Morozov
Akron
🟨
82'
Joao Escoval
Akron
🔄
90+5'
E. Spertsyan ↔ V. Paltsev
FC Krasnodar

Akron vs FC Krasnodar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Akron Win 22.6%
Draw 3.6%
FC Krasnodar Win 73.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akron1.04
FC Krasnodar1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akron Akron
WWDLW
33 GF / 45 GA
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
WLDWL
55 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
19
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
15
3.85
Shots on Goal
4.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Akron Akron 27 matches
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 27 matches
Akron Statistic FC Krasnodar
6 Wins 18
9 Draws 6
12 Losses 3
33 Goals For 55
45 Goals Against 21
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
19 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 11
4 Failed To Score 2
3.85 Shots On Goal 4.81
10.81 Total Shots 15.52
3.81 Corners 5.26
43.5% Ball Possession 59.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Krasnodar's more proactive style and Akron's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Krasnodar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 60 points while Akron sit 10 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Krasnodar. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Akron expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Krasnodar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Krasnodar having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Akron Analysis

So far, Akron have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 27 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 33:45 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Dzyuba (8 goals), Benchimol (6 goals), D. Pestryakov (5 goals), with creative support from A. Dzyuba (5 assists), D. Pestryakov (4 assists), Ifet Đakovac (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Krasnodar Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 60 points from 27 games, FC Krasnodar bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 18 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 55:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Cordoba (15 goals), E. Spertsyan (12 goals), Nikita Krivtsov (7 goals), with creative support from E. Spertsyan (14 assists), J. Cordoba (5 assists), Joao Batxi (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Akron won 0 times, FC Krasnodar won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:9 from Akron's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Akron 4-3-3 / FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Akron 0, FC Krasnodar 5
H2H summary: Akron wins 0, draws 1, FC Krasnodar wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13
Akron Home
30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation