FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
02.05.2026 16:00
Raatin stadion
Referee: Oliver Reitala, Finland
AC Oulu
Match Timeline
KuPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
R. Karjalainen
AC Oulu
🟨
20'
Juha Pirinen
AC Oulu
🟨
52'
Clinton Antwi
KuPS
🔄
57'
G. Engvall ↔ J. Luyeye-Lutumba
KuPS
🔄
57'
C. Antwi ↔ S. Heiskanen
KuPS
🟨
61'
Bob Nii Armah
KuPS
🟨
68'
Brahima Magassa
KuPS
⚽
71'
L. Ghezali
AC Oulu
🔄
72'
V. R. Gasc ↔ A. Heinonen
KuPS
🔄
72'
S. Savolainen ↔ T. Hamalainen
KuPS
🔄
77'
E. Kallio ↔ M. Ojala
AC Oulu
🔄
87'
O. Kemppainen ↔ S. Sipola
AC Oulu
🟥
88'
Bob Nii Armah
KuPS
🔄
90'
L. Ghezali ↔ A. Lietsa
AC Oulu

AC Oulu vs KuPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AC Oulu Win 37.6%
Draw 21.7%
KuPS Win 40.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Oulu1.45
KuPS1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WWDLW
14 GF / 9 GA
KuPS KuPS
WLDWL
12 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
2
4.2
Shots on Goal
5.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Oulu AC Oulu 7 matches
KuPS KuPS 8 matches
AC Oulu Statistic KuPS
4 Wins 5
1 Draws 3
2 Losses 0
14 Goals For 12
9 Goals Against 5
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
5 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 1
4.2 Shots On Goal 5.4
12.4 Total Shots 11.6
4 Corners 4.4
47.2% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KuPS. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Oulu expected to line up in 4-4-2 and KuPS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KuPS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

AC Oulu Analysis

AC Oulu come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 9 points after 5 matches. The return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 10:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Karjalainen (4 goals), J. Korkko (3 goals), E. Kallio (1 goals), with creative support from E. Kallio (2 assists), R. Karjalainen (1 assists), T. Kaukua (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 11 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 9:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (4 goals), B. Armah (2 goals), O. Ruoppi (2 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (1 assists), P. Pennanen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 4 times, KuPS won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:31 from AC Oulu's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.3%)
Predicted formations: AC Oulu 4-4-2 / KuPS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AC Oulu wins 4, draws 1, KuPS wins 10

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Away
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
W D D L L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D D W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W D D W
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L L L D W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L W
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
D L W W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W D D D L
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs