AC Milan
Match Timeline
Lecce
AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lecce Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.51
Lecce0.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan
WWDLW
38 GF / 19 GA
Lecce
WLDWL
15 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
0.68
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
11
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
8
4.79
Shots on Goal
2.45
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
24 matches
Lecce
22 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 12 |
| 38 | Goals For | 15 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.68 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.79 | Shots On Goal | 2.45 |
| 14.5 | Total Shots | 9.36 |
| 5.21 | Corners | 4.59 |
| 53.2% | Ball Possession | 42.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 11 times, Lecce won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:13 from AC Milan's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-5-2 / Lecce 4-3-3
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 11, draws 4, Lecce wins 0
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
AC Milan
Home
|
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 |
Lecce
Away
|
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B