ITALY › SERIE A
08.03.2026 19:45
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: D. Doveri
AC Milan
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
35'
P. Estupinan · Assist: Y. Fofana
AC Milan
🔄
59'
Luis Henrique ↔ D. Dumfries
Inter
🔄
59'
H. Mkhitaryan ↔ P. Sucic
Inter
🟨
65'
Alessandro Bastoni
Inter
🔄
68'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Inter
🔄
68'
A. Bastoni ↔ Carlos Augusto
Inter
🟨
69'
Denzel Dumfries
Inter
🔄
73'
Y. Fofana ↔ S. Ricci
AC Milan
🔄
73'
R. Leao ↔ N. Fullkrug
AC Milan
🟨
80'
Adrien Rabiot
AC Milan
🔄
80'
Y. Bisseck ↔ A. Diouf
Inter
🔄
84'
C. Pulisic ↔ C. Nkunku
AC Milan
🟨
89'
Luka Modrić
AC Milan

AC Milan vs Inter Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Inter Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.28
Inter1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
48 GF / 23 GA
Inter Inter
WLDWL
89 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
2.17
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
14
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
24
4.77
Shots on Goal
6.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 31 matches
Inter Inter 41 matches
AC Milan Statistic Inter
18 Wins 29
9 Draws 3
4 Losses 9
48 Goals For 89
23 Goals Against 36
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
14 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 34
13 Over 2.5 24
5 Over 3.5 14
14 Clean Sheets 20
4 Failed To Score 3
4.77 Shots On Goal 6.07
14.23 Total Shots 17.73
5 Corners 6.41
54% Ball Possession 59.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 6 times, Inter won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from AC Milan's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-5-2 / Inter 3-5-2
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 6, draws 3, Inter wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter Away
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B