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ITALY › SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Lecce
FT
1 - 2
Cagliari
Stadio Via del Mare
Referee: Luca Zufferli, Italy
Lecce
Match Timeline
Cagliari
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
Tiago Gabriel · Assist: R. Sottil
Lecce
🟨
20'
Tiago Gabriel
Lecce
🟨
26'
Lassana Coulibaly
Lecce
⚽
33'
A. Belotti · Assist: M. Palestra
Cagliari
🟨
45+1'
Sebastiano Esposito
Cagliari
🔄
46'
A. Gallo ↔ C. Ndaba
Lecce
🔄
46'
A. Sala ↔ M. Kaba
Lecce
🟨
58'
Matteo Prati
Cagliari
🔄
60'
S. Esposito ↔ G. Gaetano
Cagliari
🔄
60'
M. Prati ↔ M. Felici
Cagliari
🔄
61'
R. Sottil ↔ Tete Morente
Lecce
⚽
71'
A. Belotti
Cagliari
🔄
72'
A. Belotti ↔ S. Kilicsoy
Cagliari
🔄
73'
Y. Ramadani ↔ F. Camarda
Lecce
🔄
73'
M. Adopo ↔ G. Zappa
Cagliari
🔄
80'
S. Pierotti ↔ K. Ndri
Lecce
🔄
86'
A. Deiola ↔ L. Mazzitelli
Cagliari
🟨
89'
Adam Obert
Cagliari

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lecce Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cagliari Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce0.75
Cagliari1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lecce Lecce
WWDLW
3 GF / 6 GA
Cagliari Cagliari
WLDWL
4 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
0
2
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lecce Lecce 4 matches
Cagliari Cagliari 4 matches
Lecce Statistic Cagliari
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
3 Goals For 4
6 Goals Against 3
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
1 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
2 Shots On Goal 3.75
8.25 Total Shots 11.75
4 Corners 2.5
41.3% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 3 times, Cagliari won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from Lecce's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lecce 4-3-3 / Cagliari 3-5-2
H2H summary: Lecce wins 3, draws 5, Cagliari wins 4
Stats
Lecce Lecce
Cagliari Cagliari
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 7
10 Fouls 19
0 Offsides 2
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 6
6 Shots off Goal 6
0 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 13
3 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
378 Total passes 351
319 Passes accurate 284
0.99 expected_goals 2.24
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lecce
Formation
Cagliari
W. Falcone
W. Falcone
C. Kouassi
C. Kouassi
K. Gaspar
K. Gaspar
Tiago Gabriel
⚽
Tiago Gabriel
A. Gallo
↓
A. Gallo
L. Coulibaly
L. Coulibaly
Y. Ramadani
↓
Y. Ramadani
A. Sala
↓
A. Sala
S. Pierotti
↓
S. Pierotti
N. Stulic
N. Stulic
R. Sottil
🎯 ↓
R. Sottil
E. Caprile
E. Caprile
Y. Mina
Y. Mina
S. Luperto
S. Luperto
A. Obert
A. Obert
M. Palestra
🎯
M. Palestra
M. Adopo
↓
M. Adopo
M. Prati
↓
M. Prati
A. Deiola
↓
A. Deiola
M. Folorunsho
M. Folorunsho
S. Esposito
↓
S. Esposito
A. Belotti
⚽ 2 ↓
A. Belotti
Lecce 4-3-3
Starting XI
30
W. Falcone
G
21
C. Kouassi
D
4
K. Gaspar
D
44
Tiago Gabriel
⚽ 5' 🟨 20'
D
25
A. Gallo
↓ 46'
D
29
L. Coulibaly
🟨 26'
M
20
Y. Ramadani
↓ 73'
M
6
A. Sala
↓ 46'
M
50
S. Pierotti
↓ 80'
F
9
N. Stulic
F
23
R. Sottil
🎯 5' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
1
C. Fruchtl
G
32
J. Samooja
G
3
C. Ndaba
↑ 46'
D
5
J. Siebert
D
7
Tete Morente
↑ 61'
F
10
M. Berisha
M
11
K. Ndri
↑ 80'
F
13
M. Perez
D
14
T. J. Helgason
M
17
D. Veiga
D
19
L. Banda
M
22
F. Camarda
↑ 73'
F
77
M. Kaba
↑ 46'
M
80
N. Kovac
M
Cagliari 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
E. Caprile
G
26
Y. Mina
D
6
S. Luperto
D
33
A. Obert
🟨 89'
D
2
M. Palestra
🎯 33'
M
8
M. Adopo
↓ 73'
M
16
M. Prati
↓ 60' 🟨 58'
M
14
A. Deiola
↓ 86'
M
90
M. Folorunsho
M
94
S. Esposito
↓ 60' 🟨 45+1'
F
19
A. Belotti
⚽ 33' ⚽ 71' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
24
G. Ciocci
G
34
V. Sarno
G
3
R. Idrissi
D
4
L. Mazzitelli
↑ 86'
M
9
S. Kilicsoy
↑ 72'
F
10
G. Gaetano
↑ 60'
M
15
J. Rodriguez
D
17
M. Felici
↑ 60'
F
18
A. Di Pardo
D
20
M. Rog
M
21
N. Cavuoti
M
28
G. Zappa
↑ 73'
D
29
G. Borrelli
F
30
L. Pavoletti
F
32
J. Pedro
D
Last matches: Lecce
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
1
2
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Como
1
3
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
16.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Cagliari
2
0
W
08.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Udinese
2
1
W
01.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Torino
0
1
L
24.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Lazio
0
0
D
18.01.26
Ser
Lecce
AC Milan
0
1
L
14.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
1
L
11.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Parma
1
2
L
Last matches: Cagliari
24.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
AC Milan
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Torino
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Udinese
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Bologna
0
0
D
27.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Atalanta
3
2
W
17.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Inter
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Cremonese
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Sassuolo
1
2
L
20.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Napoli
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Pisa
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Como
1
2
L
27.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Parma
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lazio
0
0
D
16.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lecce
0
2
L
09.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
AS Roma
0
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
4
0
W
24.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Fiorentina
2
1
W
17.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Juventus
1
0
W
12.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Genoa
0
3
L
08.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Cremonese
2
2
D
H2H: Lecce vs Cagliari
16.02.26
H2H
Cagliari
Lecce
0
2
W
19.09.25
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
1
2
L
19.01.25
H2H
Cagliari
Lecce
4
1
L
31.08.24
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
1
0
W
05.05.24
H2H
Cagliari
Lecce
1
1
D
06.01.24
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
1
1
D
12.07.20
H2H
Cagliari
Lecce
0
0
D
25.11.19
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
2
2
D
26.02.12
H2H
Cagliari
Lecce
1
2
W
02.10.11
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
0
2
L
17.04.11
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
3
3
D
28.11.10
H2H
Cagliari
Lecce
3
2
L
Last matches: Lecce
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
20.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
08.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Udinese
2
1
W
24.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Lazio
0
0
D
11.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Parma
1
2
L
06.01.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
2
L
27.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Como
0
3
L
12.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
1
0
W
30.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Torino
2
1
W
08.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
28.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
0
1
L
18.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
0
0
D
28.09.25
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
2
2
D
29.08.25
Ser
Lecce
AC Milan
0
2
L
15.08.25
Cop
Lecce
Juve Stabia
2
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
Lecce
Torino
1
0
W
H2H at home: Lecce
19.09.25
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
1
2
L
31.08.24
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
1
0
W
06.01.24
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
1
1
D
25.11.19
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
2
2
D
02.10.11
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
0
2
L
17.04.11
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
3
3
D
Last matches: Cagliari
24.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
AC Milan
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Bologna
0
0
D
17.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Inter
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Sassuolo
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Pisa
1
3
L
27.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Parma
1
1
D
09.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
AS Roma
0
2
L
24.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Fiorentina
2
1
W
12.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Genoa
0
3
L
08.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Cremonese
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Cagliari
Torino
2
1
W
13.12.25
Ser
Cagliari
Atalanta
1
2
L
03.12.25
Cop
Cagliari
Napoli
1
1
D
29.11.25
Ser
Cagliari
Juventus
1
2
L
08.11.25
Ser
Cagliari
Como
0
0
D
03.11.25
Ser
Cagliari
Lazio
0
2
L
26.10.25
Ser
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
2
2
D
05.10.25
Ser
Cagliari
Udinese
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
Cagliari
Napoli
0
1
L
23.05.25
Ser
Cagliari
Napoli
0
2
L
H2H away: Cagliari
19.09.25
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
1
2
W
31.08.24
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
1
0
L
06.01.24
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
1
1
D
25.11.19
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
2
2
D
02.10.11
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
0
2
W
17.04.11
H2H
Lecce
Cagliari
3
3
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2
Napoli
38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3
AS Roma
38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4
Como
38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5
AC Milan
38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6
Juventus
38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7
Atalanta
38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8
Bologna
38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10
Udinese
38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11
Sassuolo
38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12
Torino
38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14
Cagliari Away
38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15
Fiorentina
38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16
Genoa
38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce Home
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18
Cremonese
38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19
Hellas Verona
38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa
38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L